GGOALVIO

Peru · Primera División · 3/7/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

UCV Moquegua are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Sport Huancayo are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sport Huancayo hold a 2.0-point power-rating edge (41.8 v 43.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.8% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

36.8%

Model confidence

36.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

UCV MoqueguaDWLLL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Sport HuancayoWLWDL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
UCV MoqueguaSport Huancayo
30.2Attack42.9
55.6Defence46.0
33.3Form36.5
41.8Power43.8
1.04xG1.05
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