UCV Moqueguavs
Sport Boys
SCHEDULEDPeru · Primera División · 8/16/2026, 6:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
UCV Moquegua are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Sport Boys are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Sport Boys hold a 5.4-point power-rating edge (43.2 v 48.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 26.0% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
26.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40