GGOALVIO

Peru · Primera División · 8/16/2026, 6:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

UCV Moquegua are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Sport Boys are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Sport Boys hold a 5.4-point power-rating edge (43.2 v 48.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 26.0% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

40.8%

Model confidence

26.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

UCV MoqueguaLDDDD

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Sport BoysDWWLW

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
UCV MoqueguaSport Boys
31.7Attack30.2
56.7Defence66.7
35.0Form42.9
43.2Power48.6
0.67xG0.73
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