GGOALVIO

Peru · Primera División · 4/14/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

UCV Moquegua · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

UCV Moquegua are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Juan Pablo II College are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and UCV Moquegua hold a 5.1-point power-rating edge (41.8 v 36.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.7% in the Primera División, while UCV Moquegua holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

UCV Moquegua

Probability

42.7%

Model confidence

42.7%

UCV Moquegua has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

UCV MoqueguaWLLWD

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Juan Pablo II CollegeWLLWW

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
UCV MoqueguaJuan Pablo II College
30.2Attack39.4
55.6Defence30.3
33.3Form31.8
41.8Power36.7
1.36xG0.95
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