UCV Moqueguavs
FC Cajamarca
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 4/25/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
UCV Moquegua are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while FC Cajamarca are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 41.8 against 43.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.1% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.1%
Model confidence
35.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20