GGOALVIO

Peru · Primera División · 4/25/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

UCV Moquegua are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while FC Cajamarca are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 41.8 against 43.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.1% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

35.1%

Model confidence

35.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

UCV MoqueguaLWWLL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
FC CajamarcaLDLLL

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
UCV MoqueguaFC Cajamarca
30.2Attack47.6
55.6Defence42.9
33.3Form33.3
41.8Power43.3
1.10xG1.16
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