GGOALVIO

Peru · Primera División · 8/2/2026, 8:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FBC Melgar · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

UCV Moquegua are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while FBC Melgar are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and FBC Melgar hold a 15.9-point power-rating edge (41.8 v 57.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.8% in the Primera División, while FBC Melgar holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FBC Melgar

Probability

49.8%

Model confidence

49.8%

FBC Melgar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

UCV MoqueguaDDDDW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FBC MelgarWWDDD

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
UCV MoqueguaFBC Melgar
30.2Attack57.1
55.6Defence58.7
33.3Form55.6
41.8Power57.8
0.76xG1.46
View match centre →