UCV Moqueguavs
FBC Melgar
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 8/2/2026, 8:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FBC Melgar · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
UCV Moquegua are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while FBC Melgar are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and FBC Melgar hold a 15.9-point power-rating edge (41.8 v 57.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.8% in the Primera División, while FBC Melgar holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FBC Melgar
Probability
49.8%
Model confidence
49.8%
FBC Melgar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60