UCV MoqueguavsDeportivo Garcilaso

UCV Moquegua are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Deportivo Garcilaso are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Garcilaso hold a 15.1-point power-rating edge (41.8 v 57.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.1% in the Primera División, while Deportivo Garcilaso holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.