GGOALVIO

Peru · Primera División · 7/18/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

UCV Moquegua are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Comerciantes Unidos are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Comerciantes Unidos hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (41.8 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.1% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.1%

Model confidence

39.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

UCV MoqueguaDDWLD

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Comerciantes UnidosDLLDL

GF 0 · GA 5 · avg 0.00/1.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
UCV MoqueguaComerciantes Unidos
30.2Attack40.9
55.6Defence56.1
33.3Form39.4
41.8Power47.8
0.84xG1.01
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