Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
UCD · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
12%
MediumconfidenceUCD are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Wexford are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and uCD hold a 9.8-point power-rating edge (56.2 v 46.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely result in the First Division, favouring UCD with 11.9% confidence, a 48% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
UCD
Probability
59.1%
Model confidence
11.9%
UCD has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
UCDLDWWL
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
WexfordWLWLD
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
UCDWexford
56.8Attack39.5
60.5Defence51.9
53.1Form42.0
56.2Power46.4
1.81xG0.83