Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
UCD · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
UCD are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Wexford are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and UCD hold a 9.8-point power-rating edge (56.2 v 46.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.9% in the First Division, while UCD holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
UCD
Probability
59.1%
Model confidence
11.9%
UCD has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40