Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cork City · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
UCD are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Cork City are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Cork City hold a 17.2-point power-rating edge (56.2 v 73.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.1% in the First Division, while Cork City holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cork City
Probability
50.5%
Model confidence
13.1%
Cork City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80