GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 4/11/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Uberlandia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Uberlandia are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Ivinhema are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WLW), averaging 1.33 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Uberlandia hold an 18.4-point power-rating edge (62.6 v 44.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 21.4% in the Serie D, while Uberlandia holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Uberlandia

Probability

59.9%

Model confidence

21.4%

Uberlandia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

UberlandiaWLWLL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
IvinhemaWLW

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 1.33/1.33

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
UberlandiaIvinhema
43.1Attack33.3
74.5Defence52.4
62.7Form40.5
62.6Power44.2
1.39xG0.44
View match centre →