Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Uberaba · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Uberaba are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Mamoré are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Uberaba hold an 18.0-point power-rating edge (64.2 v 46.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 21.9% in the Mineiro - 2, while Uberaba holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Uberaba
Probability
54.4%
Model confidence
21.9%
Uberaba has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80