Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Uberaba · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Uberaba are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Mamoré are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Uberaba hold an 18.0-point power-rating edge (64.2 v 46.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.2% in the Mineiro - 2, while Uberaba holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Uberaba
Probability
51.2%
Model confidence
51.2%
Uberaba has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60