Uberabavs
Guarani MG
COMPLETEDBrazil · Mineiro - 2 · 6/23/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Uberaba · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Uberaba are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Guarani MG are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Uberaba hold a 17.3-point power-rating edge (64.2 v 46.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.5% in the Mineiro - 2, while Uberaba holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Uberaba
Probability
56.5%
Model confidence
56.5%
Uberaba has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20