GGOALVIO

UAI Urquiza logoUAI UrquizavsSportivo Italiano logoSportivo Italiano

COMPLETED

Argentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 6/28/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

UAI Urquiza are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Sportivo Italiano are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Sportivo Italiano hold a 15.9-point power-rating edge (42.1 v 58.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.0% in the Primera B Metropolitana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 14% BTTS chance and 7% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

49.2%

Model confidence

40.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

UAI UrquizaDDWLL

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Sportivo ItalianoLLWLL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
UAI UrquizaSportivo Italiano
16.1Attack36.8
72.4Defence74.7
31.0Form56.3
42.1Power58.0
0.34xG0.59
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