GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 6/20/2026, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

UAI Urquiza are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while San Martín Burzaco are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and San Martín Burzaco hold a 5.7-point power-rating edge (42.1 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.2% in the Primera B Metropolitana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 16% BTTS chance and 8% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

48.7%

Model confidence

38.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

UAI UrquizaDWLLD

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
San Martín BurzacoLLWWW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
UAI UrquizaSan Martín Burzaco
16.1Attack32.2
72.4Defence65.5
31.0Form41.4
42.1Power47.8
0.49xG0.50
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