UAI UrquizavsDeportivo Merlo

UAI Urquiza are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDW), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Deportivo Merlo are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Merlo hold a 3.1-point power-rating edge (42.1 v 45.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.4% in the Primera B Metropolitana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.