U. San MartinvsUnion Comercio

U. San Martin are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Union Comercio are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Union Comercio hold a 22.5-point power-rating edge (46.0 v 68.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 19.9% in the Segunda División, while Union Comercio holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.