GGOALVIO

Peru · Liga Women · 8/15/2026, 8:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

U. de Deportes W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Lowconfidence

U. de Deportes W are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 4.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while FBC Melgar W are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and U. de Deportes W hold a 31.6-point power-rating edge (79.5 v 47.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.5% in the Liga Women, while U. de Deportes W holds the strongest overall chance at 84% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

U. de Deportes W

Probability

84.2%

Model confidence

9.5%

U. de Deportes W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

U. de Deportes WWDWWD

GF 20 · GA 4 · avg 4.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FBC Melgar WWWLLD

GF 13 · GA 12 · avg 2.60/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
U. de Deportes WFBC Melgar W
100.0Attack66.7
82.4Defence38.1
82.4Form47.6
79.5Power47.9
4.22xG1.08
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