U. Catolicavs
Palestino
COMPLETEDChile · Primera División · 4/2/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
U. Catolica · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
U. Catolica are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Palestino are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and U. Catolica hold an 8.6-point power-rating edge (59.7 v 51.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.0% in the Primera División, while U. Catolica holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
U. Catolica
Probability
58.0%
Model confidence
58.0%
U. Catolica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60