GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera División · 8/8/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

U. Catolica · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Lowconfidence

U. Catolica are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Cobresal are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and u. Catolica hold a 23.7-point power-rating edge (59.7 v 36.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely result in the Primera División, favouring U. Catolica with 9.2% confidence, a 65% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

U. Catolica

Probability

78.4%

Model confidence

9.2%

U. Catolica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

U. CatolicaLDLWW

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
CobresalWDLDL

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
U. CatolicaCobresal
74.1Attack44.4
51.9Defence31.5
55.6Form25.9
59.7Power36.0
3.50xG1.09
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