Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Amkar · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Tyumen are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Amkar are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Amkar hold a 54.1-point power-rating edge (42.2 v 96.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.6% in the Second League A - Division A Silver, while Amkar holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Amkar
Probability
49.4%
Model confidence
13.6%
Amkar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80