GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/11/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Twente · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Twente are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Sportfreunde Lotte are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Twente hold a 13.7-point power-rating edge (59.9 v 46.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Twente holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Twente

Probability

49.5%

Model confidence

49.5%

Twente has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TwenteWLWDD

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Sportfreunde LotteDWWDL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
TwenteSportfreunde Lotte
61.1Attack62.5
55.6Defence20.8
55.6Form50.0
59.9Power46.1
2.92xG1.58
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