Twentevs
Sportfreunde Lotte
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 7/11/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Twente · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Twente are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Sportfreunde Lotte are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Twente hold a 13.7-point power-rating edge (59.9 v 46.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Twente holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Twente
Probability
49.5%
Model confidence
49.5%
Twente has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40