Twentevs
PEC Zwolle
SCHEDULEDNetherlands · Eredivisie · 8/16/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Twente · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Twente are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while PEC Zwolle are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Twente hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.6% in the Eredivisie, while Twente holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Twente
Probability
44.8%
Model confidence
12.6%
Twente has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60