GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 7/23/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ferencvarosi TC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Twente are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Ferencvarosi TC are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Ferencvarosi TC hold a 35.9-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 72.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.9% in the UEFA Europa League, while Ferencvarosi TC holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ferencvarosi TC

Probability

51.9%

Model confidence

51.9%

Ferencvarosi TC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TwenteDWWWL

GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Ferencvarosi TCWWWDW

GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
TwenteFerencvarosi TC
50.0Attack61.1
33.3Defence72.2
16.7Form77.8
36.5Power72.4
1.02xG1.80
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