Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aberdeen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Twente are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Aberdeen are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Aberdeen hold a 13.7-point power-rating edge (59.9 v 73.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Aberdeen holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Aberdeen
Probability
37.7%
Model confidence
37.7%
Aberdeen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40