Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Murom · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Tver are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Murom are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Murom hold a 23.9-point power-rating edge (44.6 v 68.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.5% in the Second League - Group 2, while Murom holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Murom
Probability
60.5%
Model confidence
60.5%
Murom has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60