GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 8/8/2026, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sportfreunde Schwaig · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Lowconfidence

TuS Geretsried are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Sportfreunde Schwaig are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Sportfreunde Schwaig hold a 36.4-point power-rating edge (26.6 v 62.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.7% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Sportfreunde Schwaig holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sportfreunde Schwaig

Probability

60.9%

Model confidence

9.7%

Sportfreunde Schwaig has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TuS GeretsriedDLLWW

GF 10 · GA 13 · avg 2.00/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Sportfreunde SchwaigDWWWD

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
TuS GeretsriedSportfreunde Schwaig
33.3Attack75.0
0.0Defence58.3
33.3Form58.3
26.6Power62.9
1.25xG2.40
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