Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Turku PS · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Turku PS are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while VPS are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and VPS hold a 13.5-point power-rating edge (66.5 v 80.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Turku PS holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Turku PS
Probability
51.6%
Model confidence
10.4%
Turku PS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60