Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Turku PS · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Turku PS are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Mariehamn are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Turku PS hold a 31.7-point power-rating edge (53.5 v 21.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 75.0% in the Veikkausliiga, while Turku PS holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Turku PS
Probability
75.0%
Model confidence
75.0%
Turku PS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60