Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Turku PS · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Turku PS are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while haka are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Turku PS hold a 25.1-point power-rating edge (66.5 v 41.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Turku PS holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Turku PS
Probability
57.6%
Model confidence
57.6%
Turku PS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40