Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Turku PS · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
Turku PS are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while FF Jaro are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Turku PS hold a 20.7-point power-rating edge (53.5 v 32.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.8% in the Veikkausliiga, while Turku PS holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Turku PS
Probability
67.8%
Model confidence
67.8%
Turku PS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60