Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Turan · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
Turan are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Qabala are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Turan hold a 16.0-point power-rating edge (49.2 v 33.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.5% in the Premyer Liqa, while Turan holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Turan
Probability
65.3%
Model confidence
13.5%
Turan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80