Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tupy FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Tupy FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Mineiros are 0W-2D-2L in their last 4 (DLDL), averaging 0.75 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 9 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Tupy FC hold a 10.8-point power-rating edge (44.6 v 33.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.3% in the Goiano - 2, while Tupy FC holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tupy FC
Probability
43.5%
Model confidence
18.3%
Tupy FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.75/1.50