GGOALVIO

World · OFC Champions League · 8/15/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tupapa Maraerenga · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Lowconfidence

Tupapa Maraerenga are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.80 conceded, while ABM Galaxy are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 4.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and ABM Galaxy hold a 29.1-point power-rating edge (59.6 v 88.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.0% in the OFC Champions League, while Tupapa Maraerenga holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tupapa Maraerenga

Probability

40.4%

Model confidence

9.0%

Tupapa Maraerenga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tupapa MaraerengaLWDWL

GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
ABM GalaxyW

GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 4.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
Tupapa MaraerengaABM Galaxy
66.7Attack100.0
58.3Defence66.7
58.3Form100.0
59.6Power88.7
1.96xG1.85
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