Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Trem · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Tuna Luso are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Trem are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Trem hold a 9.9-point power-rating edge (44.8 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.9% in the Serie D, while Trem holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Trem
Probability
43.9%
Model confidence
43.9%
Trem has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60