Tuna Lusovs
Tocantinópolis
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie D · 5/10/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tocantinópolis · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Tuna Luso are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Tocantinópolis are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 44.8 against 45.9. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.6% in the Serie D, while Tocantinópolis holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tocantinópolis
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
38.6%
Tocantinópolis has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60