GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 4/5/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Imperatriz · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Tuna Luso are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Imperatriz are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Imperatriz hold a 4.4-point power-rating edge (44.8 v 49.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.1% in the Serie D, while Imperatriz holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Imperatriz

Probability

38.1%

Model confidence

38.1%

Imperatriz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tuna LusoDWWLW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
ImperatrizLDLLW

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Tuna LusoImperatriz
44.4Attack40.5
44.4Defence64.3
38.9Form42.9
44.8Power49.2
1.01xG1.25
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