GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 5/17/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Águia de Marabá · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Tuna Luso are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Águia de Marabá are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Águia de Marabá hold a 14.1-point power-rating edge (44.8 v 58.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.8% in the Serie D, while Águia de Marabá holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Águia de Marabá

Probability

51.8%

Model confidence

51.8%

Águia de Marabá has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tuna LusoLDLWD

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Águia de MarabáWWWDD

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Tuna LusoÁguia de Marabá
44.4Attack59.5
44.4Defence59.5
38.9Form57.1
44.8Power58.9
1.11xG1.89
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