Tuna Lusovs
Águia de Marabá
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie D · 5/17/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Águia de Marabá · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Tuna Luso are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Águia de Marabá are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Águia de Marabá hold a 14.1-point power-rating edge (44.8 v 58.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.8% in the Serie D, while Águia de Marabá holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Águia de Marabá
Probability
51.8%
Model confidence
51.8%
Águia de Marabá has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00