Tukumsvs
Super Nova
COMPLETEDLatvia · Virsliga · 3/22/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tukums · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Tukums are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Super Nova are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Super Nova hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (38.0 v 43.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.3% in the Virsliga, while Tukums holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tukums
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
42.3%
Tukums has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20