Tukumsvs
FS Jelgava
COMPLETEDLatvia · Virsliga · 5/1/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tukums · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Tukums are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while FS Jelgava are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 38.0 against 37.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.3% in the Virsliga, while Tukums holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tukums
Probability
50.3%
Model confidence
50.3%
Tukums has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20