GGOALVIO

Latvia · 1. Liga · 6/14/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Valmiera / BSS · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-4

Mediumconfidence

Tukums II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Valmiera / BSS are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Valmiera / BSS hold a 54.8-point power-rating edge (26.9 v 81.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.1% in the 1. Liga, while Valmiera / BSS holds the strongest overall chance at 91% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Valmiera / BSS

Probability

90.8%

Model confidence

13.1%

Valmiera / BSS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tukums IILDWLL

GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Valmiera / BSSWDLDW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Tukums IIValmiera / BSS
43.8Attack91.7
6.3Defence70.8
25.0Form85.4
26.9Power81.6
0.73xG4.50
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