Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tukums II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Tukums II are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Smiltene are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 26.9 against 26.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.6% in the 1. Liga, while Tukums II holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tukums II
Probability
47.6%
Model confidence
47.6%
Tukums II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
GF 2 · GA 14 · avg 0.40/2.80