Tukums IIvsRiga Mariners

Tukums II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Riga Mariners are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Riga Mariners hold a 44.6-point power-rating edge (26.9 v 71.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 85.7% in the 1. Liga, while Riga Mariners holds the strongest overall chance at 86% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.