GGOALVIO

Australia · Capital Territory NPL · 5/16/2026, 9:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tuggeranong United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Highconfidence

Tuggeranong United are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Brindabella are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Tuggeranong United hold a 44.9-point power-rating edge (60.5 v 15.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 84.8% in the Capital Territory NPL, while Tuggeranong United holds the strongest overall chance at 85% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 88% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tuggeranong United

Probability

84.8%

Model confidence

84.8%

Tuggeranong United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tuggeranong UnitedLWWWW

GF 16 · GA 10 · avg 3.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
BrindabellaLWLLL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Tuggeranong UnitedBrindabella
82.5Attack19.3
31.6Defence0.0
68.4Form15.8
60.5Power15.6
4.50xG1.08
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