GGOALVIO

Australia · Capital Territory NPL · 7/11/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tuggeranong United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Highconfidence

Tuggeranong United are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Belconnen United are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Tuggeranong United hold a 31.9-point power-rating edge (60.5 v 28.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 76.3% in the Capital Territory NPL, while Tuggeranong United holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 92% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tuggeranong United

Probability

76.3%

Model confidence

76.3%

Tuggeranong United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tuggeranong UnitedWWLWL

GF 9 · GA 15 · avg 1.80/3.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Belconnen UnitedLLWLL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Tuggeranong UnitedBelconnen United
82.5Attack44.4
31.6Defence20.4
68.4Form16.7
60.5Power28.6
4.50xG1.59
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