Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tuggen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Tuggen are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Widnau are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Tuggen hold a 90.0-point power-rating edge (97.0 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.2% in the 1. Liga Classic - Group 3, while Tuggen holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tuggen
Probability
61.2%
Model confidence
10.2%
Tuggen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40