Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Zurich · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Tuggen are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while FC Zurich are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Zurich hold a 26.9-point power-rating edge (42.7 v 69.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.7% in the Schweizer Cup, while FC Zurich holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Zurich
Probability
46.7%
Model confidence
10.7%
FC Zurich has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 4 · avg 3.40/0.80
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60