GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 7/26/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Tucuman Central are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Sarmiento de La Banda are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Sarmiento de La Banda hold a 12.9-point power-rating edge (40.0 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the Torneo Federal A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

42.4%

Model confidence

42.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tucuman CentralLLLWL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Sarmiento de La BandaWLWWW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Tucuman CentralSarmiento de La Banda
31.6Attack33.3
50.9Defence70.4
31.6Form50.0
40.0Power53.0
0.58xG0.94
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