Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Varnsdorf · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Štětí are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Varnsdorf are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Varnsdorf hold a 69.5-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 76.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.8% in the Cup, while Varnsdorf holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Varnsdorf
Probability
48.8%
Model confidence
48.8%
Varnsdorf has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
GF 13 · GA 11 · avg 2.60/2.20